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Andrey Rublev vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Rublev vs Medvedev analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Andrey Rublev vs Daniil Medvedev Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Rublev 2 - 8 Medvedev

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Rublev has won 56.98% of points on their second serve, while Medvedev has won 49.28%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Rublev, in recent form, has won 52.04% of their opponent's second serve points, while Medvedev has won 53%. The same stats for first serve returns are 28.87% and 33.21% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Rublev has saved 73.71% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Medvedev has saved 59.75% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Rublev has won 68.83% of matches played (W/L 53/ 24), with Medvedev winning 72.6% (W/L 53/ 20) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Rublev has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 66% (W/L 25/ 13), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 123/ 69). Medvedev has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 76% (W/L 237/ 74), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 85/ 47).
  • Player level: In the last year, Rublev has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 74.19% of matches (W/L 23/ 8), where as Medvedev has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 18/ 9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 10 times before with Rublev winning 2 times and Medvedev being victorious 8 times. They have played 25 sets in total, with Rublev winning 4 and Medvedev winning 21. The last match between Rublev and Medvedev was at the Nitto ATP Finals - Turin, 13-11-2023, Robin, I.hard with Daniil Medvedev getting the victory 6-4 6-2.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:51:54.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Rublev and Medvedev have played a deciding set 2 times, with Rublev winning 2 times and Medvedev 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 4 tiebreaks against each other with Rublev winning 1, and Medvedev 3.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Rublev has played against opponents with an average rank of 96.92 while Medvedev has played against players with an average rank of 92.45.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Rublev has won 71% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Medvedev has won 68% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Rublev has converted 33.07% of breakpoint opportunities, and Medvedev has converted 44.41% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Andrey Rublev

21

Total

2

Mast

1

Chall

0

Slam

14

Main

4

Minor

6

Rank

5

High

26

Age

R

Plays

2

Total

8

1

Hard

5

0

Clay

0

1

Indoor

3

0

Grass

0

5

Rank

1

High

28

Age

R

Plays

Daniil Medvedev

25

Total

6

Mast

1

Chall

1

Slam

12

Main

4

Minor

2

Total

8

1

Hard

5

0

Clay

0

1

Indoor

3

0

Grass

0

W W W W W W L W W L

Form

W W W L W L W W W L

65% (453-242)

Career Total W/L

72% (515-205)

71% (24-10)

YTD W/L

76% (26-8)

$15,497,270

Career Prize Money

$29,340,920

2

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Rublev VS Medvedev H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Andrey Rublev Daniil Medvedev
All H2H Matches 2 8
Sets Won 4 21
Games Won 98 146
Aces (Total) 47 114
DFs (Total) 27 41
Avg Match Time 1:51:54 1:51:54
1st Serve % 60% (476/793) 60% (467/780)
1st Serve Win% 69% (329/476) 78% (366/467)
2nd Serve Win% 43% (135/317) 50% (155/313)
BPs Won% (Total) 33% (17/51) 43% (38/89)
Return Points W% 33% (259/780) 41% (329/793)
Best of 3 Sets W% 29% (2/7) 71% (5/7)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/3) 100% (3/3)
TBs Win% (Total) 25% (1/4) 75% (3/4)
Deciding Set Win% 100% (2/2) 0% (0/2)
1st set W, W 0% (0/0) 80% (10/8)
1st set W, L 0% (0/0) 20% (10/2)
1st set L, W 20% (10/2) 0% (0/0)

Rublev VS Medvedev H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-4 6-2
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Andrey Rublev
56% ( 36 of 64)
1st Serve %
66% ( 45 of 68)
10
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
2
83% ( 30 of 36)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 28 of 45)
50% ( 14 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 9 of 23)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 7)
31% ( 20 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 31 of 68)
75
Total Points Won
57
6-4 6-3 6-4
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Andrey Rublev
55% ( 55 of 100)
1st Serve %
60% ( 59 of 98)
8
Aces
4
9
Double Faults
5
75% ( 41 of 55)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 38 of 59)
29% ( 13 of 45)
2nd Serve Won
28% ( 11 of 39)
47% ( 9 of 19)
Break Points Won
38% ( 5 of 13)
46% ( 46 of 100)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 49 of 98)
103
Total Points Won
95
6-2 6-2
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Andrey Rublev
73% ( 29 of 40)
1st Serve %
61% ( 33 of 54)
9
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
1
83% ( 24 of 29)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 21 of 33)
73% ( 8 of 11)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 6 of 21)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
20% ( 8 of 40)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 27 of 54)
59
Total Points Won
35
6-7(7) 6-3 7-6(7)
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Daniil Medvedev
69% ( 68 of 98)
1st Serve %
67% ( 82 of 123)
9
Aces
24
1
Double Faults
8
82% ( 56 of 68)
1st Serve Won
79% ( 65 of 82)
60% ( 18 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 18 of 41)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
24% ( 24 of 98)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 40 of 123)
114
Total Points Won
107
2-6 6-3 6-3
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Daniil Medvedev
71% ( 60 of 85)
1st Serve %
54% ( 54 of 100)
2
Aces
8
5
Double Faults
3
73% ( 44 of 60)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 36 of 54)
32% ( 8 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 22 of 46)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
39% ( 33 of 85)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 42 of 100)
94
Total Points Won
91
7-5 6-3 6-2
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Andrey Rublev
60% ( 54 of 90)
1st Serve %
47% ( 40 of 85)
14
Aces
8
4
Double Faults
3
80% ( 43 of 54)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 25 of 40)
53% ( 19 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 25 of 45)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
31% ( 28 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 35 of 85)
97
Total Points Won
78
7-6(6) 6-3 7-6(5)
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Andrey Rublev
59% ( 57 of 97)
1st Serve %
51% ( 51 of 100)
16
Aces
10
3
Double Faults
1
89% ( 51 of 57)
1st Serve Won
78% ( 40 of 51)
65% ( 26 of 40)
2nd Serve Won
61% ( 30 of 49)
100% ( 1 of 1)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
21% ( 20 of 97)
Rtn Points Won
30% ( 30 of 100)
107
Total Points Won
90
6-4 7-5
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Andrey Rublev
61% ( 42 of 69)
1st Serve %
58% ( 52 of 89)
12
Aces
3
5
Double Faults
1
71% ( 30 of 42)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 35 of 52)
41% ( 11 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 11 of 37)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
41% ( 28 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 43 of 89)
84
Total Points Won
74
6-2 6-3
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Andrey Rublev
55% ( 28 of 51)
1st Serve %
55% ( 26 of 47)
9
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
2
75% ( 21 of 28)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 17 of 26)
57% ( 13 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 6 of 21)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
33% ( 17 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 24 of 47)
58
Total Points Won
40
6-3 6-2
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Andrey Rublev
65% ( 30 of 46)
1st Serve %
61% ( 42 of 69)
4
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
6
83% ( 25 of 30)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 25 of 42)
69% ( 11 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 11 of 27)
25% ( 3 of 12)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
22% ( 10 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 33 of 69)
69
Total Points Won
46

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Andrey Rublev Daniil Medvedev
YTD W/L 71% (24/10) 76% (26/8)
Sets Win/Loss 63% (57/34) 66% (63/32)
Games Win/Loss 54% (500/429) 54% (496/427)
Hard Win/Loss 72% (13/5) 82% (18/4)
Clay Win/Loss 69% (9/4) 67% (8/4)
Indoor Hard W/L 67% (2/1) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.58 0.42
Aces Total 265 192
DFs per game 0.17 0.3
DFs Total 76 135
Avg Match Time 1:55:48 2:8:30
Avg Opp Rank 133.62 101
1st Serve % 63% (1745/2770) 62% (1787/2903)
1st Serve W% 76% (1333/1745) 72% (1291/1787)
2nd Serve W% 57% (584/1025) 49% (550/1116)
BPs Won% Total 33% (85/257) 44% (131/295)
Return Pts W% 38% (1112/2965) 40% (1203/2976)
Slam W/L 75% (6/2) 82% (9/2)
Masters W/L 67% (8/4) 74% (14/5)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 71% (10/4) 75% (3/1)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 72% (18/25) 78% (18/23)
Best of 5 Sets W% 67% (6/9) 80% (8/10)
TBs Win% (Total) 41% (7/17) 85% (11/13)
Deciding Set W% 82% (9/11) 89% (8/9)
1st set W, W 90% (20/18) 90% (21/19)
1st set W, L 10% (20/2) 10% (21/2)
1st set L, W 43% (14/6) 54% (13/7)

Andrey Rublev Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R3
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Andrey Rublev
68% ( 59 of 87)
1st Serve %
52% ( 64 of 123)
13
Aces
9
1
Double Faults
4
75% ( 44 of 59)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 46 of 64)
71% ( 20 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 25 of 59)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
26% ( 23 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 52 of 123)
116
Total Points Won
94
L
7-6(6) 6-2 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Pedro Martinez Portero
64% ( 54 of 85)
1st Serve %
66% ( 63 of 96)
10
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
4
80% ( 43 of 54)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 38 of 63)
61% ( 19 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 15 of 33)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
27% ( 23 of 85)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 43 of 96)
105
Total Points Won
76
W
6-3 6-4 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Taro Daniel
50% ( 65 of 129)
1st Serve %
46% ( 73 of 158)
17
Aces
10
9
Double Faults
6
89% ( 58 of 65)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 55 of 73)
56% ( 36 of 64)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 38 of 85)
33% ( 5 of 15)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 9)
27% ( 35 of 129)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 65 of 158)
159
Total Points Won
128
W
6-2 6-7(3) 6-3 7-5 H2H
R3
L
3-6 6-3 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Marcos Giron
53% ( 57 of 108)
1st Serve %
56% ( 57 of 102)
5
Aces
3
7
Double Faults
3
72% ( 41 of 57)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 36 of 57)
53% ( 27 of 51)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 21 of 45)
67% ( 6 of 9)
Break Points Won
42% ( 5 of 12)
37% ( 40 of 108)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 45 of 102)
113
Total Points Won
97
W
5-7 6-4 7-5 H2H
F
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
67% ( 61 of 91)
1st Serve %
68% ( 84 of 123)
7
Aces
14
5
Double Faults
5
77% ( 47 of 61)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 60 of 84)
60% ( 18 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 14 of 39)
27% ( 3 of 11)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
29% ( 26 of 91)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 49 of 123)
114
Total Points Won
100
W
4-6 7-5 7-5 H2H
SF
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Taylor Fritz
75% ( 46 of 61)
1st Serve %
55% ( 26 of 47)
5
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
0
83% ( 38 of 46)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 18 of 26)
40% ( 6 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 12 of 21)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
28% ( 17 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 17 of 47)
61
Total Points Won
47
W
6-4 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
74% ( 64 of 86)
1st Serve %
70% ( 57 of 81)
5
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
80% ( 51 of 64)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 34 of 57)
45% ( 10 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
71% ( 17 of 24)
23% ( 3 of 13)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
29% ( 25 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 30 of 81)
91
Total Points Won
76
W
4-6 6-3 6-2 H2H
R4
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Tallon Griekspoor
77% ( 33 of 43)
1st Serve %
72% ( 41 of 57)
8
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
1
97% ( 32 of 33)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 26 of 41)
40% ( 4 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 7 of 16)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
16% ( 7 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 24 of 57)
60
Total Points Won
40
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
73% ( 55 of 75)
1st Serve %
77% ( 66 of 86)
5
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
69% ( 38 of 55)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 43 of 66)
75% ( 15 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 10 of 20)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
29% ( 22 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 33 of 86)
86
Total Points Won
75
W
7-6(10) 6-4 H2H

Daniil Medvedev Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R4
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Daniil Medvedev
54% ( 55 of 101)
1st Serve %
57% ( 65 of 114)
7
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
2
76% ( 42 of 55)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 40 of 65)
57% ( 26 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 22 of 49)
50% ( 7 of 14)
Break Points Won
20% ( 2 of 10)
33% ( 33 of 101)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 52 of 114)
120
Total Points Won
95
L
4-6 6-2 6-1 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Tomas Machac
62% ( 93 of 149)
1st Serve %
63% ( 86 of 136)
14
Aces
3
9
Double Faults
2
66% ( 61 of 93)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 52 of 86)
50% ( 28 of 56)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 29 of 50)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
33% ( 5 of 15)
40% ( 60 of 149)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 55 of 136)
144
Total Points Won
141
W
7-6(4) 7-5 1-6 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Miomir Kecmanovic
87% ( 27 of 31)
1st Serve %
59% ( 26 of 44)
6
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
85% ( 23 of 27)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 13 of 26)
25% ( 1 of 4)
2nd Serve Won
28% ( 5 of 18)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
23% ( 7 of 31)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 26 of 44)
50
Total Points Won
25
W
6-1 5-0 ret. H2H
R1
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Dominik Koepfer
68% ( 73 of 108)
1st Serve %
65% ( 88 of 135)
1
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
5
77% ( 56 of 73)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 50 of 88)
43% ( 15 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 22 of 47)
64% ( 7 of 11)
Break Points Won
100% ( 4 of 4)
34% ( 37 of 108)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 63 of 135)
134
Total Points Won
109
W
6-3 6-4 5-7 6-3 H2H
R4
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Daniil Medvedev
67% ( 39 of 58)
1st Serve %
45% ( 19 of 42)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
2
59% ( 23 of 39)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 11 of 19)
74% ( 14 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 10 of 23)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
36% ( 21 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 21 of 42)
58
Total Points Won
42
L
6-1 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Jack Draper
50% ( 35 of 70)
1st Serve %
48% ( 32 of 66)
3
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
83% ( 29 of 35)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 21 of 32)
40% ( 14 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 14 of 34)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
39% ( 27 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 31 of 66)
74
Total Points Won
62
W
7-5 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Jiri Lehecka
Player
Daniil Medvedev
67% ( 16 of 24)
1st Serve %
70% ( 23 of 33)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
94% ( 15 of 16)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 15 of 23)
63% ( 5 of 8)
2nd Serve Won
60% ( 6 of 10)
33% ( 1 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
17% ( 4 of 24)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 12 of 33)
32
Total Points Won
25
L
6-4 ret. H2H
R4
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Alexander Bublik
57% ( 37 of 65)
1st Serve %
57% ( 46 of 81)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
4
68% ( 25 of 37)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 33 of 46)
61% ( 17 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
34% ( 12 of 35)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
35% ( 23 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 36 of 81)
78
Total Points Won
68
W
7-6(3) 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Sebastian Korda
66% ( 77 of 116)
1st Serve %
58% ( 59 of 101)
7
Aces
13
1
Double Faults
0
77% ( 59 of 77)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 41 of 59)
51% ( 20 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
60% ( 25 of 42)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
18% ( 2 of 11)
32% ( 37 of 116)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 35 of 101)
114
Total Points Won
103
W
5-7 7-6(4) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
64% ( 52 of 81)
1st Serve %
57% ( 51 of 89)
3
Aces
7
5
Double Faults
4
83% ( 43 of 52)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 37 of 51)
52% ( 15 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 19 of 38)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
28% ( 23 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 33 of 89)
91
Total Points Won
79
W
2-6 6-4 6-4 H2H

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